Anthropic, the AI startup, is now seen as the only major company likely to announce an IPO in 2026 after OpenAI and others postponed their public market debuts.
01Summary
- 01On prediction market Kalshi, Anthropic has a 75% chance of officially announcing an IPO in 2026, the highest among 23 listed companies.
- 02OpenAI ruled out a 2026 IPO last month, with traders giving it just a 3% chance this year, after CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety concerns.
- 03Plaid, Deel, and Databricks all saw their IPO odds fall sharply, from over 50% earlier in the year to single digits by June.
- 04Anthropic's Q3 revenue was $16.8 billion, but quarter-over-quarter growth slowed, prompting analyst questions about valuation.
- 05The number of US IPOs priced in 2026 is down 33% compared to 2025, despite a rise in total proceeds driven by large debuts like SpaceX.
02Why it matters
The IPO market is a key source of new investment opportunities; the delays suggest uncertainty in tech valuations and may affect broader market sentiment.
Answers are generated by AI from the story summary; they are not investment, health or legal advice.





