South Texas Latino voters who shifted towards Trump in 2024 are now being targeted by Democrats ahead of the 2026 midterms. Polling cited in the story suggests the Republican gains may be slipping.
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01Summary
- 01Hispanic and Latino voters moved right in 2024 and helped Donald Trump win a second presidential term.
- 02In Texas's 28th District, Trump won by 7 percentage points while Democrat Henry Cuellar won re-election to an 11th term.
- 03Republicans say districts in South Texas and other majority-Latino areas, including the 15th and 34th, could help decide control of Congress.
- 04A Cook Political Report survey found Texas Democratic statewide candidates leading Republicans by 2-to-1 among likely Hispanic voters.
- 05An NBC News/Telemundo poll released on 4 October found 27% of Latino voters approved of Trump and 59% wanted Democrats to control Congress.
02Why it matters
The Latino vote could be decisive in several close House races that may determine control of Congress. If Republican support softens, Democrats may regain ground in districts they lost in 2024.
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